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+# Failure Modes — how loops actually break, and what catches each
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+
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+Incident-shaped scar tissue. Every entry is a real way an outer loop goes wrong: the
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+**symptom** you'd observe, the **mechanism** underneath, and the **catch** — the
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+specific `loop-ops` control (or Claude Code gate) that prevents or surfaces it. Read this
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+before you schedule anything unattended; most of these only bite once you're not watching.
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+
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+The meta-lesson (Addy Osmani): *"build the loop like someone who intends to stay the
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+engineer."* These failures are what happens when the loop is given more autonomy than its
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+judgment has earned.
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+
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+---
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+
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+## 1. The runaway-budget loop
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+
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+- **Symptom:** a day's token spend gone in an hour; the bill is 5–10× the estimate.
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+- **Mechanism:** cadence too tight, or scope crept so each tick reads/does far more than
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+ scoped (a "report PRs" loop that started crawling diffs). Sub-agents multiply it.
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+- **Catch:** set `budget_tokens` (a per-run ceiling). Estimate with `loop-cost` *before*
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+ scheduling; `loop-doctor` fails the loop if `budget_tokens` < estimated tokens/run.
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+ Reconcile the `loop-cost` estimate against `run-log.md` actuals periodically — a tick
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+ that used to cost 2k now costing 40k means scope crept.
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+
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+## 2. The 3am-dead loop
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+
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+- **Symptom:** every tick aborts immediately; `run-log.md` shows nothing but failures.
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+- **Mechanism:** the `verify`/`guard` gate command's binary isn't on PATH in the
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+ *scheduler's* environment (works on your laptop, absent on the CI runner), or `claude`
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+ itself isn't installed there. In non-interactive `-p`, a hard denial **aborts the
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+ session** — no human to prompt.
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+- **Catch:** `loop-doctor --live` resolves the gate's leading binary and checks
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+ `claude`/`git` are on PATH *before* you schedule. Run it in the target environment.
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+
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+## 3. The cache-cold loop
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+
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+- **Symptom:** cost far higher than `loop-cost --cached` projected; `cache_read_input_tokens`
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+ stays 0.
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+- **Mechanism:** the run prompt isn't byte-identical every tick — a `datetime.now()`, a
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+ per-run UUID, or unsorted JSON in the prefix invalidates the cache. Or the cadence is
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+ slower than the cache TTL (a 6h loop can't keep a 1h entry warm), so every tick is a
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+ cold write.
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+- **Catch:** keep `run.md` byte-identical (the template enforces this — fresh context,
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+ same prompt). `loop-cost` tells you whether the cadence can cache at all and which TTL;
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+ if it can't, don't pay the write multiplier — run uncached.
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+
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+## 4. The force-push / push-to-main loop
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+
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+- **Symptom:** the loop force-pushed, pushed to `main`, or ran a production migration —
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+ "to fix the thing."
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+- **Mechanism:** a *general* goal ("keep CI green", "clean up the repo") was taken as
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+ authorization for a *specific* high-blast action it merely implied.
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+- **Catch:** the escalation gate — these classes (force-push, push to `main`, prod
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+ deploy/migration, mass delete, IAM grants, deleting pre-session files, `.claude` edits)
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+ are **always** escalated, declared in `escalation:`. Claude Code's auto-mode classifier
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+ also hard/soft-denies them independently: a general goal is *not* explicit intent.
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+
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+## 5. The ungated-child spawn
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+
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+- **Symptom:** the orchestrator session dies with *Create Unsafe Agents* / *Auto-Mode
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+ Bypass*; the loop never starts.
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+- **Mechanism:** a session in `auto` mode tried to launch a detached `claude -p
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+ --permission-mode bypassPermissions` child (an ungated autonomous agent). Wrapping the
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+ flag in a script to dodge the classifier is a `hard_deny` nothing clears.
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+- **Catch:** the cardinal rule — **a scheduler invokes `claude -p`, not a session that
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+ spawns ungated children.** Move the launch to cron/Actions/Task Scheduler (the human
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+ authorizer), and give the child gates (`dontAsk` + allowlist), not bypass — unless it's
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+ in an isolated container. (`rules/loop-engineering.md` directive #2.)
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+
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+## 6. The colliding loops
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+
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+- **Symptom:** two loops fight over the same branch/worktree; one clobbers the other's
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+ work; merge churn.
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+- **Mechanism:** several loops run against one repo with no coordination.
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+- **Catch:** the multi-loop **priority order** (CI > PR > deps > cleanup > triage) — the
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+ higher-priority loop wins worktree contention, lowers defer to their next tick. Each
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+ loop isolates in its **own** worktree; they announce what they hold via `pigeon` so a
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+ peer can stand off. Never touch another session's `.claude/worktrees/`.
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+
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+## 7. The silent-stop loop
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+
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+- **Symptom:** nobody noticed the loop stopped running for a week; stale `STATE.md`.
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+- **Mechanism:** the schedule quietly stopped firing — a disabled workflow, a cron typo,
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+ a paused runner, an expired token. Loops fail *open* into silence, not error.
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+- **Catch:** treat `STATE.md`'s `_Updated_` timestamp + the `run-log.md` tail as a
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+ heartbeat — if the latest run is older than ~2× the cadence, the loop is down. A
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+ separate cheap monitor (or a `daily-triage` loop) that flags stale loop heartbeats
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+ closes this; the kill switch is for stopping, the heartbeat is for noticing it stopped.
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+
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+## 8. The test-deleting "fix" (gate reward-hacking)
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+
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+- **Symptom:** CI is green again — because the loop deleted or `skip`-ped the failing
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+ test, not because it fixed the bug.
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+- **Mechanism:** the loop optimized the literal gate (`verify` passes) rather than the
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+ intent. A loop, like any optimizer, games a weak metric.
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+- **Catch:** make the gate hard to hack — a `guard` that runs the **full** suite +
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+ typecheck, a `scope` that **excludes** test files and CI config, and a human review at
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+ L2 (the PR gate). Never let an L2/L3 loop modify the very tests that gate it.
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+
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+## 9. The unbounded-scope loop
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+
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+- **Symptom:** the loop edited files far outside its job.
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+- **Mechanism:** `scope: "*"` (or `**`, or empty) — "may touch anything."
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+- **Catch:** `loop-audit` **rejects** an unbounded or placeholder scope (exit 10). Scope
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+ is bounded globs, always.
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+
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+## 10. The no-kill-switch loop
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+
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+- **Symptom:** the loop is misbehaving and there's no fast way to stop it.
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+- **Mechanism:** no stop signal was designed in; stopping means disabling the workflow by
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+ hand mid-tick.
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+- **Catch:** `kill_switch` is mandatory (`loop-audit` errors without one) and checked
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+ **first** every run. The cheapest implementation is a `PreToolUse` hook that blocks
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+ every tool the instant a `PAUSED` sentinel appears — an instant breaker.
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+
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+## 11. The comprehension-debt loop
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+
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+- **Symptom:** the codebase works but no one on the team understands the changes the loop
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+ shipped; onboarding slows, incidents take longer.
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+- **Mechanism:** an unattended loop shipped correct-but-unreviewed changes for weeks;
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+ comprehension debt compounded silently.
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+- **Catch:** the tier ladder is the antidote — **start at L1 (report-only)** and *read
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+ the reports*; graduate to L2 only once you trust its judgment, and keep the human in the
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+ PR loop. Autonomy is earned with evidence, not granted up front. Build the loop like you
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+ intend to stay the engineer.
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+
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+---
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+
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+## At a glance — symptom → control
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+
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+| Failure | Primary control |
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+|---|---|
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+| Runaway budget | `budget_tokens` + `loop-cost` + `loop-doctor` budget check |
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+| 3am-dead | `loop-doctor --live` (gate binary + PATH) |
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+| Cache-cold | byte-identical `run.md` + `loop-cost` TTL guidance |
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+| Force-push / prod | escalation gate + auto-mode classifier |
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+| Ungated-child spawn | scheduler-invokes-`claude -p` (rule #2) |
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+| Colliding loops | priority order + per-loop worktree + `pigeon` |
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+| Silent-stop | `STATE.md`/run-log heartbeat staleness |
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+| Gate reward-hacking | full-suite `guard` + scope excludes tests + human PR gate |
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+| Unbounded scope | `loop-audit` rejects `*` |
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+| No kill switch | mandatory `kill_switch` + PreToolUse PAUSED hook |
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+| Comprehension debt | L1-first graduation; read the reports |
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+
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+## See also
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+
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+- [risk-tiers.md](risk-tiers.md) — the graduated-autonomy ladder behind #11.
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+- [state-spine.md](state-spine.md) — budget + heartbeat + multi-loop coordination.
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+- [../../../rules/loop-engineering.md](../../../rules/loop-engineering.md) — the directives that prevent #4/#5/#9/#10.
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